1  Birth

1.1 Fertility

1.1.1 TFR (total fertility rate)

1.1.1.1 plots to define the base period for fertility prediction

Figure 1.1: total fertility rate by year

Figure 1.2: total fertility rate by year and origin

Figure 1.3: total fertility rate by year and age class (3)

Figure 1.4: total fertility rate by year and age class (5)

Figure 1.5: total fertility rate by year, origin and age class (3)

Figure 1.6: total fertility rate by year, origin and age class (5)

1.1.1.2 fertility plots (before any corrections)

(a) District of Kreis 1

(b) District of Wollishofen

(c) District of Leimbach

(d) District of Enge

(e) District of Alt-Wiedikon

(f) District of Friesenberg

(g) District of Sihlfeld

(h) District of Werd

(i) District of Langstrasse

(j) District of Hard

(k) District of Gewerbeschule

(l) District of Escher Wyss

(m) District of Unterstrass

(n) District of Oberstrass

(o) District of Fluntern

(p) District of Hottingen

(q) District of Hirslanden

(r) District of Witikon

(s) District of Seefeld

(t) District of Muehlebach

(u) District of Weinegg

(v) District of Albisrieden

(w) District of Altstetten

(x) District of Hoengg

(y) District of Wipkingen

(z) District of Affoltern

({) District of Oerlikon

(|) District of Seebach

(}) District of Saatlen

(~) District of Schwamendingen-Mitte

() District of Hirzenbach
Figure 1.7: fertility by district, year, age, origin

Figure 1.8: fertility by year, age, origin

Figure 1.9: fertility by year, age

1.1.2 corrected fertility:

(a) District of Kreis 1

(b) District of Wollishofen

(c) District of Leimbach

(d) District of Enge

(e) District of Alt-Wiedikon

(f) District of Friesenberg

(g) District of Sihlfeld

(h) District of Werd

(i) District of Langstrasse

(j) District of Hard

(k) District of Gewerbeschule

(l) District of Escher Wyss

(m) District of Unterstrass

(n) District of Oberstrass

(o) District of Fluntern

(p) District of Hottingen

(q) District of Hirslanden

(r) District of Witikon

(s) District of Seefeld

(t) District of Muehlebach

(u) District of Weinegg

(v) District of Albisrieden

(w) District of Altstetten

(x) District of Hoengg

(y) District of Wipkingen

(z) District of Affoltern

({) District of Oerlikon

(|) District of Seebach

(}) District of Saatlen

(~) District of Schwamendingen-Mitte

() District of Hirzenbach
Figure 1.10: initial vs. corrected fertility

(a) District of Kreis 1

(b) District of Wollishofen

(c) District of Leimbach

(d) District of Enge

(e) District of Alt-Wiedikon

(f) District of Friesenberg

(g) District of Sihlfeld

(h) District of Werd

(i) District of Langstrasse

(j) District of Hard

(k) District of Gewerbeschule

(l) District of Escher Wyss

(m) District of Unterstrass

(n) District of Oberstrass

(o) District of Fluntern

(p) District of Hottingen

(q) District of Hirslanden

(r) District of Witikon

(s) District of Seefeld

(t) District of Muehlebach

(u) District of Weinegg

(v) District of Albisrieden

(w) District of Altstetten

(x) District of Hoengg

(y) District of Wipkingen

(z) District of Affoltern

({) District of Oerlikon

(|) District of Seebach

(}) District of Saatlen

(~) District of Schwamendingen-Mitte

() District of Hirzenbach
Figure 1.11: cumulative population from the tails

(a) District of Kreis 1

(b) District of Wollishofen

(c) District of Leimbach

(d) District of Enge

(e) District of Alt-Wiedikon

(f) District of Friesenberg

(g) District of Sihlfeld

(h) District of Werd

(i) District of Langstrasse

(j) District of Hard

(k) District of Gewerbeschule

(l) District of Escher Wyss

(m) District of Unterstrass

(n) District of Oberstrass

(o) District of Fluntern

(p) District of Hottingen

(q) District of Hirslanden

(r) District of Witikon

(s) District of Seefeld

(t) District of Muehlebach

(u) District of Weinegg

(v) District of Albisrieden

(w) District of Altstetten

(x) District of Hoengg

(y) District of Wipkingen

(z) District of Affoltern

({) District of Oerlikon

(|) District of Seebach

(}) District of Saatlen

(~) District of Schwamendingen-Mitte

() District of Hirzenbach
Figure 1.12: smooth the corrected fertility rate”

1.1.3 Prediction

(a) Origin Swiss

(b) Origin foreign
Figure 1.13: plot the predictions: age distribution by district and year

swiss

(a) District of Kreis 1

(b) District of Wollishofen

(c) District of Leimbach

(d) District of Enge

(e) District of Alt-Wiedikon

(f) District of Friesenberg

(g) District of Sihlfeld

(h) District of Werd

(i) District of Langstrasse

(j) District of Hard

(k) District of Gewerbeschule

(l) District of Escher Wyss

(m) District of Unterstrass

(n) District of Oberstrass

(o) District of Fluntern

(p) District of Hottingen

(q) District of Hirslanden

(r) District of Witikon

(s) District of Seefeld

(t) District of Muehlebach

(u) District of Weinegg

(v) District of Albisrieden

(w) District of Altstetten

(x) District of Hoengg

(y) District of Wipkingen

(z) District of Affoltern

({) District of Oerlikon

(|) District of Seebach

(}) District of Saatlen

(~) District of Schwamendingen-Mitte

() District of Hirzenbach
Figure 1.14: predictions: along year, for selected age

foreign

(a) District of Kreis 1

(b) District of Wollishofen

(c) District of Leimbach

(d) District of Enge

(e) District of Alt-Wiedikon

(f) District of Friesenberg

(g) District of Sihlfeld

(h) District of Werd

(i) District of Langstrasse

(j) District of Hard

(k) District of Gewerbeschule

(l) District of Escher Wyss

(m) District of Unterstrass

(n) District of Oberstrass

(o) District of Fluntern

(p) District of Hottingen

(q) District of Hirslanden

(r) District of Witikon

(s) District of Seefeld

(t) District of Muehlebach

(u) District of Weinegg

(v) District of Albisrieden

(w) District of Altstetten

(x) District of Hoengg

(y) District of Wipkingen

(z) District of Affoltern

({) District of Oerlikon

(|) District of Seebach

(}) District of Saatlen

(~) District of Schwamendingen-Mitte

() District of Hirzenbach
Figure 1.15: predictions: along year, for selected age

smoothed (only the prediction years)

(a) District of Kreis 1

(b) District of Wollishofen

(c) District of Leimbach

(d) District of Enge

(e) District of Alt-Wiedikon

(f) District of Friesenberg

(g) District of Sihlfeld

(h) District of Werd

(i) District of Langstrasse

(j) District of Hard

(k) District of Gewerbeschule

(l) District of Escher Wyss

(m) District of Unterstrass

(n) District of Oberstrass

(o) District of Fluntern

(p) District of Hottingen

(q) District of Hirslanden

(r) District of Witikon

(s) District of Seefeld

(t) District of Muehlebach

(u) District of Weinegg

(v) District of Albisrieden

(w) District of Altstetten

(x) District of Hoengg

(y) District of Wipkingen

(z) District of Affoltern

({) District of Oerlikon

(|) District of Seebach

(}) District of Saatlen

(~) District of Schwamendingen-Mitte

() District of Hirzenbach
Figure 1.16: prediction of fertility rates, smoothed

1.1.3.1 TFR (total fertility rate) of past and future

Figure 1.17: TFR by year and origin

(a) Origin Swiss

(b) Origin foreign
Figure 1.18: TFR by year and age class (3 groups)

(a) Origin Swiss

(b) Origin foreign
Figure 1.19: TFR by year and age class (5 groups)

1.2 Origin

1.2.1 Origin change

Figure 1.20: origin change by year, origin

Figure 1.21: origin change by year, age class (3), origin

Figure 1.22: origin change by year, age class (5), origin

Figure 1.23: origin change by district, year, origin

Figure 1.24: origin change by district, year, age1 (foreign only, since few cases for Swiss)

1.2.2 Prediction of origin change

Figure 1.25: predicted origin change by year and origin

1.3 Sex ratio

1.3.1 Current proportion

Figure 1.26: proportion of sexes by year

1.3.2 Prediction of proportion

Figure 1.27: predicted mean proportion of sexes by year