5 Relocation on immigration

5.1 Relocation proportion

5.1.1 differences by sex (sum over years)

WHY? Check if minor differences between sex? Because omitted in prediction

(a) Origin Swiss

(a) Origin Swiss

5.1.2 differences by origin (sum over years and sex)

WHY? first: to emphasize the need of origin in the model second: the plots can be used to get an idea the value of an age threshold

Figure 5.2: proportion of relocation by district, age and origin

5.1.3 which base years?

5.1.3.1 year and origin

WHY? simplest plot to determine the base years

Figure 5.3: proportion by year and origin

5.1.3.2 year, age, origin

Figure 5.4: propportion by year, age and origin

5.1.4 aggregate over sex

This plot is the starting point (before smoothing, age corrections)

5.1.4.1 focus on age

(a) District of Kreis 1

(a) District of Kreis 1

5.1.4.2 focus on years

(a) District of Kreis 1

(a) District of Kreis 1

5.1.5 dyao: smoothing

5.1.5.1 focus age

(a) District of Kreis 1

(a) District of Kreis 1

5.1.5.2 focus years

(a) District of Kreis 1

(a) District of Kreis 1

5.1.6 dyao: proportion after smoothing

5.1.6.1 focus age

Figure 5.9: proportion smooothed by district, age, year and origin

Figure 5.10: proportion smooothed by district, age, year and origin

Figure 5.11: proportion smooothed by district, age, year and origin

Figure 5.12: proportion smooothed by district, age, year and origin

5.1.6.2 plot: focus year

Figure 5.13: proportion smooothed by district, year, age and origin

Figure 5.14: proportion smooothed by district, year, age and origin

Figure 5.15: proportion smooothed by district, year, age and origin

Figure 5.16: proportion smooothed by district, year, age and origin

Figure 5.17: proportion smooothed by district, year, age and origin

Figure 5.18: proportion smooothed by district, year, age and origin

Figure 5.19: proportion smooothed by district, year, age and origin

Figure 5.20: proportion smooothed by district, year, age and origin

5.1.7 smoothing

5.1.7.1 processes

(a) District of Kreis 1

(a) District of Kreis 1

5.1.7.2 proportions

Figure 5.22: proportion by district, age and origin; smoothed

5.1.8 proportion from different aggregation levels —————————-

5.1.8.1 entire curves (different aggregations levels)

(a) District of Kreis 1

(a) District of Kreis 1

5.1.8.2 focus age

(a) District of Kreis 1

(a) District of Kreis 1

5.1.8.3 focus years

(a) District of Kreis 1

(a) District of Kreis 1

5.1.9 smoothing (after different levels of aggregation were brought to

5.1.9.1 focus age

(a) District of Kreis 1

(a) District of Kreis 1

5.1.9.2 focus years

(a) District of Kreis 1

(a) District of Kreis 1

5.2 Prediction

5.2.1 (constrained regression)

(a) District of Kreis 1

(a) District of Kreis 1

5.3 final predictions

5.3.1 past and future

(a) District of Kreis 1

(a) District of Kreis 1

5.3.2 focus age distribution

WHY this plot: it is recommendable to look precisely at the age plots over years therefore, a plot that focuses on certain years

(a) District of Kreis 1

(a) District of Kreis 1

5.3.3 focus year distribution

(a) District of Kreis 1

(a) District of Kreis 1